Service Plays Tuesday 06/23/09

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, JUNE 23


INTERLEAGUE


Chicago Cubs (34-32) at Detroit (38-31)


The streaking Tigers send Edwin Jackson (6-4, 2.39 ERA) to the mound, while the Cubs will counter with ace Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.44) as these squads hook up for the first time in three years.


Chicago tallied 10 hits on Monday in a makeup game at Atlanta, but couldn’t push across a run, leaving 12 runners on base in a 2-0 loss. Prior to the shutout defeat, the Cubs had won four in a row thanks to an offense that exploded for 26 runs. Lou Piniella’s club has still won seven of 11 against right-handed starters, but it is also just 4-11 in its last 15 road games overall and 0-6 in its last six in American League parks.


Detroit took Monday off after edging Milwaukee 3-2 on Sunday for its fourth win in a row, all versus the N.L. Central. The Tigers’ four-game run has been sparked by an offense that’s produced 28 runs scored, and the surge comes after a 1-5 stretch in which they managed just 17 runs. Detroit is on positive streaks of 5-0 at home, 4-0 against right-handed starters, 49-21 in interleague action and 40-12 in interleague home games. On the downside, Detroit has lost seven of eight after a day off and 12 of its last 15 on Tuesday.


These teams last met in June 2006, with Detroit sweeping a three-game series at Wrigley Field, outscoring the Cubs 26-9. Detroit has won four straight meetings overall and six of eight since 2000, but the visitor is 7-1 during this stretch.


Zambrano is coming off his fourth straight quality start, holding the White Sox to three runs on six hits in seven innings Thursday, but he got a no-decision as the Cubs scored five runs in the final two innings for a 6-5 victory. Zambrano is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last four starts, and the big right-hander has allowed three runs or fewer in eight consecutive outings.


With Zambrano on the bump, Chicago is on upticks of 8-3 overall, 40-16 on the road, 5-2 in interleague play, 4-1 on Tuesday, 5-1 against the A.L. Central and 10-2 in series openers. He’s 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA in six road games this season, and he’ll be facing the Tigers for the first time in his career tonight.


Jackson’s tough luck continued Wednesday, as he gave up three runs in six innings but lost 4-3 in St. Louis. Jackson has yielded three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts, pitching at least six innings in seven of those contests, and he’s 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA during this stretch. Jackson is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six home starts this season, and like Zambrano versus the Tigers, the right-hander is making his first-ever start against the Cubs in this contest.


The under is 4-1 in Zambrano’s last five starts overall, but otherwise he’s on “over” streaks of 8-1 in interleague play, 5-1 against the A.L. Central and 4-0 on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Jackson’s last six starts have stayed under the total.


The Cubs carry “under” trends of 21-9 overall, 7-1 on the highway, 10-2 against winning teams, 14-6 versus right-handed starters and 10-4-1 in series openers. Similarly, the Tigers are on “under” runs of 11-4 at home, 5-2 in interleague home games, 19-7 versus right-handed starters and 4-1 after an off day. However, five of the last six Cubs-Tigers clashes have topped the posted total.


ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE




Philadelphia (36-31) at Tampa Bay (37-34)


Last year’s surprising World Series participants begin a three-game interleague series at Tropicana Field, with veteran Jamie Moyer (4-6, 6.35) slated to toe the slab for the Phillies against Rays phenom David Price (1-1, 3.46).


Philadelphia hits the road after a disastrous 1-9 homestand, all against teams from the A.L. East. The Phillies ended the homestand by getting swept in consecutive three-game series against the Blue Jays and Orioles, as they were outscored 38-19, ending with Sunday’s 2-1 loss to Baltimore. The good news for Philadelphia is it has by far baseball’s best road record at 23-9, compared with a 13-22 mark at home.


Dating to last season, the Phillies are 37-16 in their last 53 on the road, though they have dropped 19 of their last 28 in A.L. Parks and they’ve lost five straight games against left-handed starters.


Tampa Bay was idle Monday after ending a six-game road trip with consecutive wins over the Mets by scores of 3-1 on Saturday and 10-6 on Sunday. The Rays are on hot streaks of 8-3 overall, 79-32 at the Trop, 44-16 when hosting teams with a winning record, 9-3 as a favorite, 5-1 against lefty starters, 4-0 in interleague home games and 5-1 against the N.L. East.


Philadelphia needed only five games to oust Tampa Bay in last year’s Fall Classic and win its first World Series title since 1980. The Phillies won the opener 3-2 in Tampa, then the home team took the final four contests. Going back to 2000, these squads have met 12 times, with the host going 9-3. In fact, Philadelphia has lost five of its last six games at the Trop.


Moyer’s streak of three straight quality starts (2.84 ERA) came to a screeching halt in Wednesday’s 7-1 home loss to Toronto, as he gave up six runs on 10 hits in six innings.

The Phillies are 2-6 in Moyer’s last eight trips to the mound, 1-4 in his last five as an underdog and 1-4 in his last five interleague outings.


Moyer is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA in six road games this season and 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 15 career regular-season starts against the Rays. The 46-year-old southpaw also faced Tampa Bay in Game 3 of last year’s World Series, allowing three runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 5-4 Philadelphia win.


Price lasted a season-high seven innings at Colorado on Wednesday, but also surrendered season highs of five runs and 10 hits in a 5-3 defeat, though he didn’t walk a batter after issuing 18 free passes in his first five starts. The Rays have won both of Price’s home starts this year, with the lefty surrendering one run in five innings in each game (1.80 ERA). Price came out of the bullpen twice in the World Series last year against the Phillies and gave up two runs (one earned) in 3 1/3 innings.


Philadelphia is riding “under” streaks of 17-8-1 in interleague play, 6-0 in A.L. ballparks, 9-4 as an underdog, 9-4 against southpaw starters, 7-2-1 in series openers and 5-1-1 on artificial turf. Also, with Moyer pitching, the “under” is on runs of 6-0 overall, 4-0-1 in interleague action, 16-6-1 as an underdog and 9-2 as a road pup. Likewise, the “under” for Tampa Bay is on streaks of 4-1 overall (all in interleague play), 12-4-1 as a favorite, 24-9-1 in interleague home games, 25-11 at home against lefty starters and 4-1 on Tuesday.


Finally, the under is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings in Tampa Bay, including 2-0 in last year’s Fall Classic.


ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Mets Monday night.

Today it's the Twins and Dodgers. The surplus is 760 sirignanos.
 
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ChicagoSportsConnection

TUESDAY June 23rd FREEPLAY
OVER 8.5...Dodgers @ White Sox...7:11 EDT
Finally !
Hot, sticky, humid weather in Chi-town.
That means it is officially "Home Run Season" at US Cellular Field....or as most White Sox fans call it... "Comiskey".
It's been another cold, wet spring here. It won't matter which way the wind is blowing like at Wrigley.....as long as it's hot and humid, the ball will carry.
 

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RatedPicks

47-32-1 with +41.4 Units past 19 days (betting 2 units per play, and 4 units per *BP*)

MLB:

Seattle Mariners -130
Colorado Rockies +115
Boston Red Sox -130
Chicago White Sox -115
LA Dodgers/Chicago WhiteSox OVER 8.5
Cle Indians/Pitt Pirates OVER 9
 

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Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2009
$30.00 Guaranteed: Stats and angles are important to examine, but when EVERYTHING comes together, you need to step up and HAMMER the line! Tuesday go inside the numbers and strike GOLD with this baseball once-a-season Interleague Game of the Year, then cash BIG TONIGHT! 6/22/2009
5* (905) Red Sox at Nationals: Washington may have stunned the Yankees last week and took an extra inning game from Toronto, but let's not overlooked the face that this is a very bad all around team. The pitching is terrible, especially the bullpen, and that is one of many huge differences between these two teams. The Boston bullpen is the best in baseball, plus they've had a full day off to rest. Starter Brad Penny has been strong with a 2.72 ERA his last three starts. The other factor is that this is a great pitcher's park, huge, one that is tough to score runs in. Boston's offense is better than Washington's and very patient, drawing walks to maximize base runners, plus wearing down the opposing starter to get to the bullpen. That's key here as Washington has a decent starter in John Lannan, but a huge dropoff once the pen comes in. Lannan struck out four and walked one while holding the Yankees to two runs on four hits over 8.1 innings, throwing 108 pitches. Lannan was nearly let down by his bullpen, as Mike MacDougal had to grind it out for his first save of the season. A great spot for the first-place visitors against the last place Nationals. Play the Red Sox.
 

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SCOTT FERRALL'S FREE PICKS:

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

Cleveland (Huff)
PITTSBURGH (SNELL) -110 (1)

Cincinnati (Owings)
TORONTO (TALLET) -140 (2)

San Diego (Gaudin)
SEATTLE (OLSON) -135 (3) 6/23/2009
 

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David Banks 6/23 *Best Bet* Inside

MLB
7:05pm TB Rays (KEY BEST BET)
7:10pm Baltimore
8:05pm Milwaukee
10:05pm LA Angels
10:05pm San Francisco
10:10pm Seattle
 

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John Morrison

37-38 Since 5/27

Yesterday 1-1

Today:

Cincy +130

NYY +100

Cubs +115



John Morrison system bets

2-0 yesterday with Oakland and the Mets.

Milwaukee
 

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Smart Money

11:31 AM General Wiseguys just hit #652 Chicago UNDER (WNBA).

11:04 AM Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #927 San Francisco UNDER.
 

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Jim Boyd

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

MLB | Jun 23 '09 (7:05p)
Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals:

Boston Red Sox -122

3* 35-0 Tuesday Night Interleague SMASH on Red Sox -122

Lannan has been very good for the Nats this season, but he falls victim to one of the best hitting teams in the bigs against left handed starting pitching tonight. The Sox are 17-8 against lefty starters this season, scoring 5.8 runs per game against them. And once the Sox are able to knock Lannan out of this game, they'll have their way with a pen that has an ERA of 5.32 this season. Penny is starting to look like a solid investment for the Sox as he has posted an ERA of only 2.70 over his last 3 starts. And he'll gladly hand the ball over to a pen with an ERA of just 2.89 this season. Plus, Penny has been exceptional against the Nats in his career, going 12-5 with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.061. Boston is 10-0 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games this season, 9-0 against the money line when playing with a day off this season, and 6-0 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Nationals are 0-6 in Lannan's last 6 Tuesday starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. We'll take this 35-0 Money Line Angle to the bank!

MLB | Jun 23 '09 (8:05p)

Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros:

Kansas City Royals -133

3* SMASH on Royals -133

Expect Greinke (8-3, 1.96 ERA) to bounce back tonight following his worst outing of the season to get the Royals back in the win column. Greinke is 5-1 with a 2.58 ERA in 11 interleague games since the start of 2007 and with the Astros having never seen him, I believe they'll be in trouble tonight. Bet the Royals.

MLB | Jun 23 '09 (10:05p)

San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Athletics:

San Francisco Giants -108

3* Tuesday Night Bases Bailout on Giants -108

The Giants have had Oakland's number, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. After going down last night, I expect the Giants to bounce back strong behind ace Tim Lincecum. The reigning NL Cy Young winner is 6-2 on the season with an ERA of 2.72. He's starting to look like the dominant starter we saw last season, posting an ERA of only 1.85 and a WHIP of 0.945 over his last 3 starts. Plus, Lincecum is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.33 in 3 career starts versus the A's. Lastly, plays against any bad AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 42-10 since 1997. Back Lincecum and the Giants tonight.
 

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee had Np on Monday.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Diamondbacks -$130/Rangers.

"Mr Chalk" is 45-23 -$50 for the MLB season.
 

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Brandon Lang

Tuesday ...
10 Dime - Rockies

10 Dime - Braves

10 Dime - Mariners

5 Dime - Rangers

5 Dime - Giants
 

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RAS

Rotation #652 Chicago/Atlanta (Under 154.5)

gotta buy it..


<TABLE height=60 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width=550 align=center bgColor=#cccccc border=0><TBODY><TR class=reportrow1><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle height=30>Rotation #654</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle width=370>Phoenix/San Antonio (Under 167)</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle>1.00 UNIT</TD></TR><TR class=reportrow1><TD colSpan=3><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" align=left colSpan=2 height=18>Game start: 04:30pm PST</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" align=right colSpan=2>Released at: 9:07:00am PST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TD></TR><TR class=reportrow1><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle height=30>Rotation #652</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle width=370>Chicago/Atlanta (Under 154.5)</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle>1.00 UNIT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Maddux confirmed picks

#901 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -111
#915 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore -109
#922 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox -111
#924 - MLB - 3 units on Arizona -130
#927 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -112

Today's Free Pick is Arizona -130
 

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Robert Ferringo

Take #905 Boston (-125) over Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take #927 San Francisco (-115) over Oakland (10 p.m., Tuesday, June Take #910 Toronto (-140) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take #913 N.Y. Yankees (+105) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Tuesday, June
Take #925 Colorado (-120) over L.A. Angels (10 p.m.,
Take #901 St. Louis (-125) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take #930 Seattle (-135) over San Diego (10 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)

Today's Totals
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston at Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Texas at Arizona (9 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Detroit (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 St. Louis at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 23)
 

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<TABLE height=60 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width=550 align=center bgColor=#cccccc border=0><TBODY><TR class=reportrow1><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle height=30>Rotation #654</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle width=370>Phoenix/San Antonio (Under 167)</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle>1.00 UNIT</TD></TR><TR class=reportrow1><TD colSpan=3><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" align=left colSpan=2 height=18>Game start: 04:30pm PST</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 10px" align=right colSpan=2>Released at: 9:07:00am PST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TD></TR><TR class=reportrow1><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle height=30>Rotation #652</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle width=370>Chicago/Atlanta (Under 154.5)</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 13px" align=middle>1.00 UNIT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Also Minn +2
 

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